Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3be5b1c4b4a5688b70ecfe5e457195f2a6e4577f0611d7441b330625bed243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 13,732$7,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.7 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 12,204$5,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,952.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 340.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 317.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 277$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 228$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 206.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 65c | 152.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 35c | 139.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 109.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 52c | 96.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 50c | 65.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 51.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 45.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 46c | 30.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Over | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 43c | 27.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 26.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Under | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 18.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 154.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas LonghornsOklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-6.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-7.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.