Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd63931214106d1a9ae2b5acb39bd0f66ae838128184b06c51dc5902e762ea12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Once Upon A Teamof Dynasty, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Once Upon A Team | 75c | 1,882$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Dynasty | 19c | 1,720$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…d35ebacked Dynasty | 47c | 664.16$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Once Upon A Team | 73c | 590.54$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Dynasty | 54c | 528.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Once Upon A Team | 46c | 269.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Once Upon A Team | 41c | 254.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Once Upon A Team | 52c | 173.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Once Upon A Team | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Once Upon A Team | 40c | 88.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dynasty | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Once Upon A Team | 45c | 77.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dynasty | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dynasty | 53c | 64.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dynasty | 25c | 48.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Once Upon A Team | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dynasty | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed Once Upon A Team | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dynasty | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dynasty | 31c | 33.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed Dynasty | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed Dynasty | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsOnce Upon A Team won
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 WinnerOnce Upon A Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.