Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9c3b2efbfe20d2c009524b7a4f498f18e441d3e1137fd4acf35e844f6806c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Once Upon A Teamof Dynasty, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dynasty | 21c | 323.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Once Upon A Team | 68c | 312.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dynasty | 54c | 228.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Once Upon A Team | 46c | 228.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dynasty | 38c | 207.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Dynasty | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Once Upon A Team | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Dynasty | 57c | 181.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Dynasty | 45c | 153.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Dynasty | 54c | 139.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dynasty | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Dynasty | 24c | 89.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Once Upon A Team | 42c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Once Upon A Team | 52c | 79.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Once Upon A Team | 45c | 75.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Once Upon A Team | 57c | 48.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Once Upon A Team | 40c | 40.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Once Upon A Team | 56c | 35.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Dynasty | 49c | 35.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Once Upon A Team | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed Dynasty | 59c | 33.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Once Upon A Team | 54c | 31.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed Dynasty | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Once Upon A Team | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dynasty | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsOnce Upon A Team won
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 WinnerOnce Upon A Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.