CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7e05ba28a60598823440a09a1fdefc2d5f708aaab469de4e0e594d5edcb227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VENOM ESPORof Bushido Wildcats, VENOM ESPOR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 528.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed VENOM ESPOR | 52c | 462.33$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed VENOM ESPOR | 28c | 351.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 337.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.21 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed VENOM ESPOR | 55c | 296.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 247.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 233.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked VENOM ESPOR | 66c | 230.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VENOM ESPOR | 58c | 222$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 217.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 178.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 163.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 157$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked VENOM ESPOR | 65c | 150.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 122.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VENOM ESPOR | 55c | 115.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VENOM ESPOR | 39c | 114.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…e380backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VENOM ESPOR | 77c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 95.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked VENOM ESPOR | 52c | 85.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 79.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked VENOM ESPOR | 30c | 64.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed VENOM ESPOR | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked VENOM ESPOR | 47c | 61.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 55.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked VENOM ESPOR | 52c | 55.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 53.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked VENOM ESPOR | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…f7b5backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 46.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed VENOM ESPOR | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VENOM ESPOR | 41c | 45.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 34.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed VENOM ESPOR | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked VENOM ESPOR | 53c | 27.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed VENOM ESPOR | 61c | 26.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked VENOM ESPOR | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.