Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Sayaka Ishii vs Kayla Cross
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda40162eb126a1b32afb3b6fcba8147102461581f9c84e44d949ca28033df46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Crossof Sayaka Ishii, Kayla Cross
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sayaka Ishii | 11c | 7,362$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kayla Cross | 73c | 3,335$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.19 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Sayaka Ishii | 31c | 1,341$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kayla Cross | 61c | 1,276$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sayaka Ishii | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Sayaka Ishii | 40c | 547.73$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sayaka Ishii | 15c | 410.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sayaka Ishii | 8c | 331.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kayla Cross | 61c | 326.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Sayaka Ishii | 39c | 259.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sayaka Ishii | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kayla Cross | 61c | 241$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kayla Cross | 74c | 240.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sayaka Ishii | 38c | 231.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sayaka Ishii | 39c | 206.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…790fbacked Sayaka Ishii | 38c | 172.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sayaka Ishii | 7c | 159.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Sayaka Ishii | 40c | 140.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Sayaka Ishii | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Sayaka Ishii | 10c | 114.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Sayaka Ishii | 39c | 102.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sayaka Ishii | 38c | 100.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Sayaka Ishii | 40c | 97.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Sayaka Ishii | 39c | 95.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sayaka Ishii | 20c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Kayla Cross | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Kayla Cross | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sayaka Ishii | 37c | 79.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sayaka Ishii | 39c | 70.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Kayla Cross | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Kayla Cross | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sayaka Ishii | 30c | 46.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Sayaka Ishii | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Kayla Cross | 62c | 37.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…5dd9backed Kayla Cross | 79c | 31.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kayla Cross | 62c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kayla Cross | 60c | 28.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Kayla Cross | 54c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Kayla Cross | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Kayla Cross | 61c | 25.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kayla Cross | 69c | 21.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kayla Cross | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Kayla Cross | 60c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.