Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde2b22bc134a5f7520684bd476d8c9269ce43b586eb5e2a82b35178337471d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Liberty Flames | 62c | 3,333$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 48c | 2,744$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Liberty Flames | 61c | 1,659$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.04 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 1,186$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.83 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 991.75$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 948.12$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.28 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 878.42$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.97 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Liberty Flames | 58c | 685.27$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.55 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 523.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 37c | 499.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty Flames | 52c | 380.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 56c | 372.78$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 34c | 359.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Liberty Flames | 48c | 319.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Liberty Flames | 51c | 300.79$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 297.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liberty Flames | 48c | 264.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 46c | 226.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 37c | 213.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 55c | 168.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Liberty Flames | 64c | 152.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 55c | 145.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 137.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 34c | 131.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Liberty Flames | 62c | 99.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 99.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 37c | 96.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Liberty Flames | 35c | 88.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Liberty Flames | 62c | 68.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Liberty Flames | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 40c | 49.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 48.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 31.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Liberty Flames | 62c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksthis page
- Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.