Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7bed79b8df66aed5d51c7372299873d2fae1adef5a0f55dc32b340bb44a4d57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 48c | 30,364$14,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,637.88 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 29,725$15,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,387.19 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 7,107$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.64 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 47c | 5,507$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 5,456$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.63 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 4,728$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.13 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 3,336$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.06 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 50c | 2,997$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 1,805$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.4 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 54c | 1,297$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.57 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 50c | 1,260$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.76 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 50c | 999.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.86 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 559.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 438.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 50c | 406.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 385.07$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 341.36$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 303.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 300.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 52c | 256.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 245.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 52c | 215.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 50c | 199.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 199.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 175.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 50c | 168.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 52c | 147.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 46c | 114.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…7fb7backed Under | 50c | 106.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Over | 52c | 95.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 53c | 94.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 50c | 86.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 49c | 53.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 50c | 48.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…e67ebacked Under | 50c | 47.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 55c | 45.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 36c | 41.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…f92abacked Over | 53c | 39.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 46c | 35.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Under | 50c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 67c | 26.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…ee3dbacked Under | 50c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 140.5this page
- Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksLiberty Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.