Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4fb028c8f6328a204971ec9306f96cb39f41bec35885119b37edb8b744c662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 75c | 3,216$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.54 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 880.26$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 41c | 270.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 37c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 39c | 134.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…29b4backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 86.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 42c | 67.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 61c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.