Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5e70a6372bddcd575d028f68121cb8fecfc960d7dd99408e4b586feda7144c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Egorovaof Daria Egorova, Diae El Jardi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6b6…99c0backed Diae El Jardi | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diae El Jardi | 42c | 982.12$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Diae El Jardi | 21c | 791.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Daria Egorova | 61c | 356.02$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Daria Egorova | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daria Egorova | 77c | 236.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Diae El Jardi | 13c | 219.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Diae El Jardi | 15c | 206$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daria Egorova | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Diae El Jardi | 30c | 185.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diae El Jardi | 29c | 175.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Daria Egorova | 60c | 164.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Diae El Jardi | 47c | 158.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Daria Egorova | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Daria Egorova | 62c | 135.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Daria Egorova | 54c | 100.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daria Egorova | 71c | 93.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Diae El Jardi | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Daria Egorova | 63c | 45.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Daria Egorova | 54c | 36.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Daria Egorova | 55c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…964fbacked Diae El Jardi | 48c | 34.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Daria Egorova | 60c | 30.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Egorova | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Egorova | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 79c | 22.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Egorova | 58c | 20.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Daria Egorova | 74c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Daria Egorova | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Diae El Jardi | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.