Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb9871a950176eaa865e332899e42d5f8219e4f8508441e9205443f3f9ff9bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Skillcamp Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Skillcamp Esport | 48c | 5,059$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.52 | 2,261 | 37.3%843 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Karmine Corp Blue | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp Blue | 65c | 1,311$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Skillcamp Esport | 36c | 1,018$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Skillcamp Esport | 34c | 1,009$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.05 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 64c | 872.8$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Karmine Corp Blue | 47c | 868.54$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 55c | 780.6$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.21 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Karmine Corp Blue | 59c | 762.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 52c | 745.75$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Skillcamp Esport | 47c | 706.58$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 441 | 37.2%164 W · 277 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Skillcamp Esport | 47c | 702.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.07 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -15.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Skillcamp Esport | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,137 | 48.3%549 W · 588 L | +35.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 51c | 431$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Skillcamp Esport | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 443 | 42.9%190 W · 253 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 52c | 364.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.81 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Skillcamp Esport | 41c | 247.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 306 | 37.6%115 W · 191 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Skillcamp Esport | 50c | 201.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 51.7%107 W · 100 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 52c | 180$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1,237 | 48.1%595 W · 642 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…1540backed Karmine Corp Blue | 53c | 102.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 51c | 76.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Skillcamp Esport | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Karmine Corp Blue | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…c135backed Skillcamp Esport | 45c | 32.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Skillcamp Esport | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-2.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+2.5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.