Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdedbfbb6de8168a71016453aee94ad20e126005bd85432203221df327330da86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 25c | 1,634$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 59c | 1,528$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 986.64$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.52 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 642.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 374.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 39c | 280.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 59c | 126$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…7413backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 58c | 81.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 39.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…aeccbacked No | 42c | 34.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 63c | 26.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 79c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 60c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.