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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY51c1,235$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.845,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY58c492.29$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.773,26950.3%1,644 W · 1,625 L+98.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne42c467.15$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.745,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked GenOne55c366.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed ex-RUBY63c350.91$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9871071.7%509 W · 201 L+123.0wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked GenOne49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14735638.5%137 W · 219 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed GenOne49c296.53$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458833%29 W · 59 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY64c289.29$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.646,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked GenOne49c279.94$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.77035.7%25 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ex-RUBY55c268$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3462342.7%266 W · 357 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…38eebacked GenOne24c210.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502425%6 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked GenOne39c208.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.347138%27 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed GenOne20c195.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2776838.3%294 W · 474 L-33.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY68c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.454,27549.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L+64.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne42c120.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.473,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked ex-RUBY56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.22564%16 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY65c106.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.193,27451.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L+91.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUBY63c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.852,26247.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.492,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY62c96.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.754,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-RUBY52c93.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.413567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked GenOne58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.461,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked GenOne58c81.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed GenOne49c81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6984342.2%356 W · 487 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked GenOne35c75.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUBY75c70.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.941,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed GenOne23c67.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…8eaebacked GenOne40c50.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GenOne51c50.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.881,99547.5%948 W · 1,047 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5c…6704backed GenOne49c45.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed ex-RUBY68c40.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed GenOne49c40.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5414849.3%73 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed GenOne35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458248.6%283 W · 299 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked ex-RUBY49c31.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8422963.3%145 W · 84 L+23.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked ex-RUBY50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1536763.2%232 W · 135 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed GenOne39c26.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3971842.3%304 W · 414 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked ex-RUBY46c25.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6254545.3%247 W · 298 L-20.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa32…a296backed ex-RUBY75c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.175981.4%48 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf66a…bcb8backed ex-RUBY64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.634566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed ex-RUBY78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2512375.6%93 W · 30 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.