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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x299f…2c50backed GenOne7c1,464$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0176838.3%294 W · 474 L-33.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY55c1,182$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.515,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne43c668.27$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.146,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked GenOne45c502.79$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2636942.8%158 W · 211 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY52c404.36$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.713,26950.3%1,644 W · 1,625 L+98.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne45c314.06$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.475,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUBY50c285$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.612,26247.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed GenOne45c281.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6559039.3%232 W · 358 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY52c279.62$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.143,27451.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L+91.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed ex-RUBY57c272.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2871071.7%509 W · 201 L+123.0wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GenOne62c242$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.262,44246.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L-54.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked GenOne46c219.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.391,59851.6%824 W · 774 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUBY58c214$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.881,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY63c191.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.64,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ex-RUBY64c154$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.231247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne39c152.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.164,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed GenOne48c148.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718833%29 W · 59 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne33c141$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.265,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GenOne61c138.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.82,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GenOne39c130.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12,63434.6%912 W · 1,722 L-204.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed ex-RUBY55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4589051.2%456 W · 434 L-2.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked GenOne44c88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.672,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUBY78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked GenOne45c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.913452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked GenOne15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.357233.3%24 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-RUBY55c65.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4513567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked ex-RUBY56c62.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.722963.3%145 W · 84 L+23.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x382c…c88bbacked ex-RUBY64c60.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.814564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ex-RUBY44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.662342.7%266 W · 357 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked GenOne20c58.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6112323.6%29 W · 94 L-0.6wins0.00per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY66c54.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,40666.4%933 W · 473 L+77.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked GenOne52c50.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.491,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY50c48.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.824,27549.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L+64.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked GenOne60c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne52c46.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.243,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x672c…881bbacked ex-RUBY60c41.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.442572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed GenOne49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5358248.6%283 W · 299 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b7…2d8dbacked GenOne48c39.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUBY54c36.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7879346.4%368 W · 425 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUBY58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne44c27.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.145,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed GenOne42c26.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3425450.8%129 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ex-RUBY57c26.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3112041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…f9e6backed ex-RUBY70c25.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed GenOne48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212853.9%69 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed ex-RUBY57c24.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4538649.7%192 W · 194 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed GenOne43c24.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.456442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked GenOne45c23.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4526534%90 W · 175 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.