MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf93d55ef8b0e20cb1a7ca5a2e3b445356a11da82dd6bbc6c6aef81282099f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Los Angeles Angels, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 73c | 4,542$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 4,399$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 2,841$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 2,427$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.31 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Los Angeles Angels | 2c | 1,972$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 894.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 275.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Detroit Tigers | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 169.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 156$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 72c | 118.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 87.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 86.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 72c | 62.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 61.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 42.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 40.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 28.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.