MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4444068cacd3bd455e07efee6e1b460c92aabc1c64f97067ed0db91192f83bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 314,629$163,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,021.83 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 48c | 208,333$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.83 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 33,521$16,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.99 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 48c | 20,652$9,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.09 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 17,692$8,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.39 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 48c | 15,552$7,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,464.72 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 11,378$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.63 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 56c | 11,027$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.84 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,379$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 4,663$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 3,318$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.79 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 2,673$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.41 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,239$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 2,086$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 1,832$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 46c | 1,463$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.98 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,390$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,372$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.45 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 1,178$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.88 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 1,127$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.79 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 49c | 899.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 874$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 755$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 751.41$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.34 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 738$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 726.34$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 644.22$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.78 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over | 8c | 423.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 408$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 298$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 248.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Under | 51c | 219.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 209.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 53c | 189.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 48c | 173.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Under | 54c | 168$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 153$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 53c | 147.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 61c | 134.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Under | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 123.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 58c | 93.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 46c | 93.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 89.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 59c | 79.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 44c | 79.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 13c | 77.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 66.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 41c | 62.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 52.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 43c | 45.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 52c | 42.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 54c | 36.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 48c | 33.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 53c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…82dfbacked Under | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 51c | 26.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 72c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.