MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b3ee96fa0137e576cbae05edf897c744bc105541243ffc6af5e88951898e55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 10,098$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 9,984$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 3,245$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 2,998$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.12 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 2,569$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.91 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 2,497$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.92 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 910.54$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 466.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 314$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Detroit Tigers | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 297.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 208.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 16c | 176.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 172.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 161.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 151.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 139.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 137.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 14c | 131.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 113.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 77.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 62.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 54.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 48.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…e3cabacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 24.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.