CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs ESC Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe74789d923c47d4f3a43d455979cef6135be4dac49c4d7aabf1b33d2f3c181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, ESC Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca40…83f6backed G2 | 80c | 3,239$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.66 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed ESC Gaming | 18c | 2,155$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ESC Gaming | 20c | 1,661$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ESC Gaming | 11c | 1,012$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed ESC Gaming | 20c | 1,006$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 | 78c | 889.1$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ESC Gaming | 19c | 621$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed ESC Gaming | 16c | 609.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked ESC Gaming | 19c | 593.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…06f0backed ESC Gaming | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked ESC Gaming | 21c | 235.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed ESC Gaming | 24c | 209.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked ESC Gaming | 25c | 195.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…dafcbacked G2 | 65c | 189.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…e218backed ESC Gaming | 35c | 189.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked ESC Gaming | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed G2 | 78c | 154.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ESC Gaming | 23c | 148.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ESC Gaming | 15c | 137.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed G2 | 78c | 104.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed G2 | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed G2 | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ESC Gaming | 19c | 99.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked ESC Gaming | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed ESC Gaming | 29c | 93.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked ESC Gaming | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed ESC Gaming | 17c | 88.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ESC Gaming | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ESC Gaming | 23c | 76.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ESC Gaming | 20c | 74.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…3704backed ESC Gaming | 23c | 71.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed ESC Gaming | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed ESC Gaming | 17c | 62.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 | 77c | 54.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed ESC Gaming | 21c | 52.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked ESC Gaming | 21c | 49.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked G2 | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed G2 | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 | 72c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…fc81backed G2 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.