La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe04d252baf9b3a9551070f77f29c2a52056e04ffbb506f362feb48504e7ee9e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,159$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.54 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 3,030$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.96 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 37c | 1,367$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.36 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Yes | 46c | 1,097$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.45 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 45c | 1,047$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.08 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 680.08$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 557.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 502.43$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 31c | 425.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.76 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 10c | 303$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 299.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 38c | 181.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 176.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 43c | 170.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 147.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 146$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked No | 7c | 140.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 134.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 19c | 121.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 44c | 112.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…1822backed Yes | 41c | 111.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 46c | 108.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…4ca9backed Yes | 39c | 99.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 14c | 89.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…522abacked Yes | 32c | 81.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 54c | 80.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 57c | 79.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 75.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 41c | 73.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 45c | 71.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 70.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 64c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…6578backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 47c | 59.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 54.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 43c | 48.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 46.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 45c | 44.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 42.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 39.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 46c | 37.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 34.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 53c | 28.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 22.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 16.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.