MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe054b9c330f506e37c7e6072414f57fb6f36fb34da48faa116f51a2166a9bfbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof SSG Landers, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SSG Landers | 41c | 7,105$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.56 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 59c | 4,631$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.62 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked LG Twins | 59c | 1,420$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.37 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 59c | 559.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked LG Twins | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed LG Twins | 71c | 369$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed LG Twins | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SSG Landers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed LG Twins | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed SSG Landers | 33c | 162.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed SSG Landers | 41c | 111.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 75c | 103.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…1092backed LG Twins | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed LG Twins | 77c | 97.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed LG Twins | 70c | 97.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSG Landers | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 40c | 68.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed LG Twins | 58c | 66.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SSG Landers | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 168 | 61.9%104 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed SSG Landers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SSG Landers | 41c | 41.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 58c | 39.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 60c | 38.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked SSG Landers | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked SSG Landers | 59c | 31.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed LG Twins | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.