Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0612063ed453b19cde61e5f58685f0f844a38f338f52c7498917fd97bb05f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked S2G Esports | 20c | 9,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed S2G Esports | 15c | 4,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 2,673$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.55 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed S2G Esports | 11c | 1,767$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked S2G Esports | 19c | 1,339$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed S2G Esports | 14c | 1,339$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Misa Esports | 76c | 1,131$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed S2G Esports | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked S2G Esports | 13c | 810.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked S2G Esports | 16c | 669.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed S2G Esports | 6c | 614$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports | 11c | 445.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed S2G Esports | 14c | 357.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked S2G Esports | 25c | 318.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed S2G Esports | 23c | 301.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked S2G Esports | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed S2G Esports | 17c | 285.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed S2G Esports | 21c | 276.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed S2G Esports | 19c | 261.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed S2G Esports | 19c | 254.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 232.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed S2G Esports | 16c | 203.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed S2G Esports | 16c | 196.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…c122backed S2G Esports | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed S2G Esports | 16c | 145.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked S2G Esports | 19c | 134.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked S2G Esports | 17c | 132.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Misa Esports | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Misa Esports | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…2430backed S2G Esports | 17c | 122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed S2G Esports | 18c | 113.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked S2G Esports | 17c | 111.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed S2G Esports | 18c | 106.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked S2G Esports | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked S2G Esports | 16c | 94.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed S2G Esports | 15c | 94.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed S2G Esports | 20c | 85.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Misa Esports | 76c | 80.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed S2G Esports | 16c | 80.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed S2G Esports | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 76.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked S2G Esports | 17c | 76.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Misa Esports | 22c | 57.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Misa Esports | 77c | 52.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked Misa Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Misa Esports | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Misa Esports | 80c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Misa Esports | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Misa Esports | 80c | 25.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 21.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Misa Esports | 74c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 4 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.