MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06c05dc0f1ae6b488bf031cd4860c1577eecf9cb622e4c9b2a4ff18a27dc2c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed KT Wiz | 76c | 651.96$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 648.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 23c | 607.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NC Dinos | 39c | 290.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed KT Wiz | 59c | 254.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 25c | 169.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 9c | 167.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 134.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked KT Wiz | 60c | 104.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed NC Dinos | 36c | 95.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 79c | 75.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…8239backed KT Wiz | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed NC Dinos | 40c | 68.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 41c | 61.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed KT Wiz | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked NC Dinos | 39c | 55.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed NC Dinos | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed NC Dinos | 42c | 46.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 40c | 43.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed NC Dinos | 40c | 33.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…d748backed NC Dinos | 44c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed NC Dinos | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 43c | 31.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 57c | 24.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.