CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06e2888de03f3ce654845e8a3607f1706b1b199555573de9ad645faf793e007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof Johnny Speeds, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WW Team | 74c | 4,015$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 27c | 3,287$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WW Team | 63c | 1,035$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 758.83$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Johnny Speeds | 14c | 630.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 522.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Johnny Speeds | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc139…2b59backed WW Team | 55c | 364.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 315.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Johnny Speeds | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Johnny Speeds | 24c | 253.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 248.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WW Team | 62c | 211.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed WW Team | 49c | 181.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked WW Team | 52c | 171.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WW Team | 69c | 166.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WW Team | 62c | 155.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 139.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WW Team | 60c | 103.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WW Team | 70c | 93.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed WW Team | 71c | 72.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 50.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 45.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Johnny Speeds | 24c | 44.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 41.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked WW Team | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 32c | 33.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 33.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed WW Team | 78c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked WW Team | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.