Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06fefdae79803caa08de8346118721082a6239d0101022efce3db6eaf31f892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 31c | 8,100$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.41 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 3,135$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.49 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 70c | 3,008$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.53 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Yes | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 999.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 597.91$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 472.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 455.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 31c | 309.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 67c | 305.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 29c | 305.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 28c | 259.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 185.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 14c | 151.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 32c | 147.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 69c | 135.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 30c | 108.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 70c | 99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 71c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Yes | 69c | 69.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 68.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 29c | 62.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 35c | 44.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 34c | 37.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…d728backed No | 34c | 34.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 66c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 70c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 68c | 24.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FC Petrocub Hînceşti end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.