Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Vitality vs. Natus Vincere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07df16a8790d1da98bca260023936ff6128325fcb242feafe592462899bc3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Vitality | 76c | 7,961$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.88 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 3,028$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.68 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Team Vitality | 74c | 2,886$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.7 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,492$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.95 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,391$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.71 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,628$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,511$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Team Vitality | 72c | 1,382$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Team Vitality | 74c | 998.94$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Vitality | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 620.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality | 75c | 605.61$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Vitality | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Vitality | 71c | 472.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d348backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 339.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Team Vitality | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 227.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 209.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 109.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Team Vitality | 72c | 91.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Team Vitality | 76c | 54.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Team Vitality | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed Team Vitality | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Team Vitality | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Team Vitality | 70c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…8598backed Team Vitality | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Team Vitality | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Vitality | 73c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.