Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07fd72c87239bc4c19c41cb6234dcc6338576443ff74f58db0415814f2d0971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 63c | 872.67$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 55c | 767.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 45c | 577.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.13 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 568$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 567.48$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.14 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 55c | 279$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 55c | 240.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 56c | 198.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f54…8042backed Under | 56c | 115.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…4c18backed Under | 55c | 69.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.