Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Bahrain vs Singapore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e8b0653fe6af2ad565acf0095d38134538ec9eaf33efa1dc293cdd023bf2fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bahrainof Bahrain, Singapore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Singapore | 31c | 3,565$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.54 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Bahrain | 70c | 3,083$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Singapore | 0c | 2,996$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Singapore | 16c | 2,374$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.95 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Singapore | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Bahrain | 72c | 1,204$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Bahrain | 60c | 1,190$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Singapore | 40c | 1,190$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Singapore | 14c | 1,150$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Singapore | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Singapore | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Singapore | 8c | 1,021$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Bahrain | 65c | 658.22$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8f…bce8backed Singapore | 14c | 481.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Singapore | 35c | 424$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Singapore | 35c | 412.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Bahrain | 60c | 404.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Singapore | 27c | 363.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bahrain | 72c | 343.46$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…8248backed Singapore | 40c | 249.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Bahrain | 73c | 209.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bahrain | 67c | 199.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Singapore | 37c | 181.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Singapore | 35c | 163.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Bahrain | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Singapore | 32c | 153.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Singapore | 35c | 153.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Singapore | 9c | 131.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Singapore | 35c | 108.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Singapore | 25c | 102.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Singapore | 40c | 86.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Singapore | 35c | 77.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Singapore | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Bahrain | 73c | 61.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Singapore | 35c | 61.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Bahrain | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bahrain | 57c | 50.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Singapore | 36c | 49.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Singapore | 47c | 39.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bahrain | 61c | 32.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Bahrain | 69c | 30.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Bahrain | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Bahrain | 80c | 29.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Bahrain | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Bahrain | 74c | 22.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Bahrain | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Bahrain | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.