South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f53cc5a3a9277b364acb4359ce17f074e42a4139954398c1ad817daf93d89a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 3,352$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.86 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,792$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 788.1$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 385.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 49c | 233.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 200.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 188.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 33c | 167.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 49c | 160.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 138.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 97.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 96.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…259fbacked Over | 49c | 87.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 49c | 84.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 49c | 69.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 49c | 55.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 47c | 51.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 51.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 48.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 68c | 47.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Over | 49c | 43.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…2d06backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 38.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…e2d0backed Under | 55c | 31.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 49c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 67c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Over | 50c | 23.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 70c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 18.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 67c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 67c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 64c | 16.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 68c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 68c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 68c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.