Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10f4a2aa3de1a00346c88acb4deb8f91a07bf0073e717b7132634034d305778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Over | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 705.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 698$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 23c | 607.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 77c | 434.92$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 44c | 431.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 44c | 416.07$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Over | 79c | 216.46$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 42c | 138.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…eeebbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 82.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 77c | 75.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 72.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 43c | 71.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 68.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 44c | 53.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 53.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 59c | 50.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 43c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…9a39backed Over | 55c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…198dbacked Over | 55c | 23.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…a1b1backed Over | 55c | 21.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.