Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8348dccbae6bd042e44e1df39890162c929baa1dece50e3d088ab23251bb71ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 5,251$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.48 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,222$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.24 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 1,186$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.77 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 50c | 897.92$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 834.18$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 717.62$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 568.86$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 547.16$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 516.14$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.03 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 35c | 508$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 455$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 453.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 32c | 354.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 32c | 354.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Over | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…f2cdbacked Over | 61c | 305.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 71c | 281$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Under | 51c | 199.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 65c | 188$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 34c | 176$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 66c | 176$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 165$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 149.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 67c | 137.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 121.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 35c | 85.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 83.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 52c | 77.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 75.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 59.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 69c | 58.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 57.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 57.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 54.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 53.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 69c | 42.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 69c | 42.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 69c | 41.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 69c | 41.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 69c | 41.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 68c | 40.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 68c | 40.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 68c | 40.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 44c | 40.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 68c | 37.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 69c | 36.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 68c | 36.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 68c | 36.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 68c | 36.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 70c | 35.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Under | 32c | 34.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 71c | 33.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 70c | 32.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 70c | 31.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 31.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 39c | 27.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 73c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 73c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 70c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.