Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Amelia Rajecki vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe123e47a36a7ae9af4afa08b829ca8316967fca2dbd700518f814f906984186d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Suzan Lamensof Amelia Rajecki, Suzan Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Amelia Rajecki | 3c | 8,636$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Amelia Rajecki | 17c | 7,342$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.24 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Amelia Rajecki | 9c | 1,380$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Amelia Rajecki | 24c | 1,069$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Amelia Rajecki | 20c | 727.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Amelia Rajecki | 12c | 593.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Amelia Rajecki | 25c | 399.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Amelia Rajecki | 26c | 387.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Suzan Lamens | 77c | 373.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Amelia Rajecki | 8c | 373.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Amelia Rajecki | 13c | 365.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Suzan Lamens | 78c | 320.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amelia Rajecki | 19c | 219.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Suzan Lamens | 74c | 178.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Amelia Rajecki | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Amelia Rajecki | 14c | 133.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Suzan Lamens | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amelia Rajecki | 12c | 105.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5d…3c7cbacked Amelia Rajecki | 28c | 78.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Amelia Rajecki | 22c | 73.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…e281backed Amelia Rajecki | 20c | 55.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Suzan Lamens | 76c | 52.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Suzan Lamens | 78c | 35.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Suzan Lamens | 78c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Suzan Lamens | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Suzan Lamens | 79c | 17.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Suzan Lamens | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.