Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe12b70914ee4101ab00a6be6be7739a1ca98bd1b19ba3df339bfb51472f9bfec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qinwen Zhengof Qinwen Zheng, Sloane Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,083 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Sloane Stephens | 25c | 10,000$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.91 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Qinwen Zheng | 78c | 4,939$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 2,507$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.95 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 2,085$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 2,016$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Qinwen Zheng | 77c | 1,601$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Sloane Stephens | 7c | 1,208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sloane Stephens | 9c | 1,075$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Sloane Stephens | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 967$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Sloane Stephens | 3c | 870.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sloane Stephens | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 645$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 542.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 510.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 439.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sloane Stephens | 2c | 409.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Sloane Stephens | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 369$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 345$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Sloane Stephens | 19c | 333.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f9c0backed Sloane Stephens | 3c | 321.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 292.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sloane Stephens | 15c | 249.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sloane Stephens | 10c | 241.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Sloane Stephens | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 198.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Sloane Stephens | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 139$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 119.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 103.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Sloane Stephens | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Sloane Stephens | 19c | 71.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Qinwen Zheng | 76c | 64.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Qinwen Zheng | 75c | 56.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Qinwen Zheng | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Qinwen Zheng | 75c | 23.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ce1dbacked Qinwen Zheng | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Qinwen Zheng | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sloane Stephensthis page
- Qinwen Zheng vs. Sloane Stephens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Stephens (+1.5)Zheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.