Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1342e5f3a739cdd2b0b4551785a3bca230c1afd32bdff6171be4d4e95a09ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Top Esports | 1c | 20,124$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Anyone's Legend | 43c | 3,343$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.57 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Top Esports | 57c | 1,166$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.8 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Top Esports | 57c | 888$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports | 57c | 871.22$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.6 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Top Esports | 58c | 585.32$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Top Esports | 57c | 547.22$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Top Esports | 59c | 500.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Top Esports | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Anyone's Legend | 42c | 476.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Anyone's Legend | 42c | 413.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Anyone's Legend | 41c | 404.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.35 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Top Esports | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…9747backed Anyone's Legend | 44c | 296.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Anyone's Legend | 42c | 234.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Anyone's Legend | 43c | 229.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 807 | 32.8%265 W · 542 L | -44.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Anyone's Legend | 43c | 228.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Anyone's Legend | 39c | 227.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Anyone's Legend | 42c | 200.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Top Esports | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Anyone's Legend | 47c | 197.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked Top Esports | 34c | 153.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Top Esports | 58c | 144$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…5727backed Anyone's Legend | 44c | 111.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…5066backed Top Esports | 59c | 98.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed Top Esports | 61c | 61.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Anyone's Legend | 74c | 60.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…38a4backed Anyone's Legend | 44c | 58.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Anyone's Legend | 42c | 49.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Top Esports | 61c | 48.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…4f94backed Top Esports | 61c | 47.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Anyone's Legend | 42c | 46.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Anyone's Legend | 43c | 39.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…9644backed Top Esports | 33c | 35.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anyone's Legend | 66c | 27.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Anyone's Legend | 69c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e0…351abacked Top Esports | 65c | 16.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.