Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4edf94c1352e6986f68f527035e04d1ed10babbf4e35b5ad473c75413f253c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 48c | 820.85$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 52c | 358.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Under | 52c | 325.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…5066backed Under | 70c | 294.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 48c | 292.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 47c | 200.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 126.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 124.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 55c | 89.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 48c | 42.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…5a50backed Over | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 49c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 28.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 69c | 28.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed Over | 48c | 24.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 55c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.