Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington State Cougars vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b2f02c8e66b92da252f4bc08445a2a8e7f192d3a655f68f272632dbed5c35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pepperdine Wavesof Washington State Cougars, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Washington State Cougars | 0c | 11,499$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Washington State Cougars | 67c | 1,307$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.51 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 25c | 1,128$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.47 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 77c | 949.52$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington State Cougars | 49c | 914.68$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington State Cougars | 29c | 856.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 746.72$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington State Cougars | 12c | 627.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pepperdine Waves | 28c | 567.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State Cougars | 74c | 378.15$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington State Cougars | 36c | 369.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pepperdine Waves | 26c | 297.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Washington State Cougars | 9c | 224.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pepperdine Waves | 69c | 204.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington State Cougars | 38c | 204.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Washington State Cougars | 31c | 194.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington State Cougars | 73c | 132$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington State Cougars | 75c | 109.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pepperdine Waves | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 64c | 93.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Pepperdine Waves | 74c | 80.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed Pepperdine Waves | 26c | 72.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Washington State Cougars | 17c | 57.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington State Cougars | 76c | 39.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Washington State Cougars | 76c | 27.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Washington State Cougars | 74c | 24.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Pepperdine Waves | 47c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Washington State Cougars | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Washington State Cougars | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State Cougars vs. Pepperdine Wavesthis page
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-7.5)Pepperdine Waves won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 157.5Over won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 158.5Over won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.