Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e507b66d5e89b72dabe4f51f2e3b352bc63aceb1d54ce540d8d148418ab1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof Esprit Shōnen, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked WIP Esports | 77c | 9,158$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.08 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Esprit Shōnen | 30c | 3,798$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.28 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Esprit Shōnen | 35c | 3,050$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.32 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 2,906$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.41 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed WIP Esports | 67c | 1,029$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Esprit Shōnen | 28c | 1,009$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 962.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed WIP Esports | 77c | 660.44$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WIP Esports | 74c | 641.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 612.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 551.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 535.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 529.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked WIP Esports | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked WIP Esports | 75c | 492.55$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 452.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 30c | 359.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 356.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed WIP Esports | 66c | 252.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 48c | 228.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Esprit Shōnen | 34c | 228.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 12c | 213.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Esprit Shōnen | 18c | 195.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 169.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed WIP Esports | 75c | 162.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 160.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed WIP Esports | 54c | 142.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked WIP Esports | 50c | 131.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 118.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed WIP Esports | 14c | 113.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 104.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 102.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Esprit Shōnen | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WIP Esports | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Esprit Shōnen | 11c | 95.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed WIP Esports | 77c | 78.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 74.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 62.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 62.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Esprit Shōnen | 35c | 57.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 55.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WIP Esports | 71c | 47.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed WIP Esports | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed WIP Esports | 71c | 40.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Esprit Shōnen | 80c | 33.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…7726backed WIP Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed WIP Esports | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.