Fifa International · resolved market
Panama to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e7ec22e2c5b1fba959ec214e21f823e27f61551aa874906cdbefd2eaff8324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Yes | 13c | 2,424$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,816$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 11c | 965.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…26a1backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9d49backed Yes | 13c | 476.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 14c | 375.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…4baebacked Yes | 14c | 360.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…338cbacked Yes | 15c | 352.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 350.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…513fbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 16c | 320.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 14c | 251.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…f94abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 14c | 176.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 162.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…f62abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…79c7backed Yes | 15c | 73.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. Panama?Yes won
- Panama vs. England: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.