South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ffb15ace826270ac753ade9b2ecc903b4c85f981bccc46ab73c87e60a9faed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked No | 77c | 5,494$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,974$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.11 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 12c | 2,080$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 2,062$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.68 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 1,800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,679$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 22c | 799.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…c86cbacked No | 75c | 739.25$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 22c | 722$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 514.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 327.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 322.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 28c | 307.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 11c | 299.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 254$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 77c | 188.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 24c | 153.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 15c | 94.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 73c | 72.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 77c | 64.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 59.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 74c | 35.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.