MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2096e8c628ba15afe8394dd370c29b7ca2a1bb0f68cac3d60843c36149badbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 14c | 16,932$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.88 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 0c | 10,085$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 20c | 5,031$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 12c | 4,147$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 69c | 3,346$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.66 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers | 17c | 2,422$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 22c | 1,253$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.51 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Rangers | 48c | 1,200$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Royals | 45c | 895$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.25 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 53c | 882.6$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Rangers | 56c | 836.01$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.44 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rangers | 24c | 743.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rangers | 14c | 700$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 52c | 442$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 48c | 415.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 46c | 406.66$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Royals | 80c | 391.67$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Rangers | 51c | 372.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 74c | 343.38$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers | 62c | 287.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 43c | 280.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 45c | 254$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 45c | 248$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rangers | 55c | 182.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Rangers | 51c | 124.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Rangers | 19c | 121.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 47c | 107.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 40c | 102.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Royals | 79c | 97.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Rangers | 26c | 78.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers | 40c | 75.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Rangers | 55c | 55.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rangers | 53c | 45.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rangers | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Royals | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Royals | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rangers | 62c | 32.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Rangers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rangers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9646…da4cbacked Royals | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Rangers | 79c | 14.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.