Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22b029d56de187a5de198e95f51200254d8b760e7ce566e19233d3dadc9b235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhengof Sabalenka, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Zheng | 44c | 19,356$8,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,825.06 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Sabalenka | 54c | 18,533$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zheng | 53c | 2,390$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.18 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Zheng | 24c | 1,932$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.99 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Sabalenka | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabalenka | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Zheng | 35c | 862.31$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka | 76c | 829.62$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.51 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…5edcbacked Zheng | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…9acdbacked Zheng | 26c | 770$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 700$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Zheng | 53c | 459.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.12 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a55dbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 432$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked Zheng | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabalenka | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…5dc0backed Sabalenka | 74c | 275$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…fe4bbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 265$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…d89ebacked Sabalenka | 74c | 265$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabalenka | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…3edcbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 255$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…5fdcbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 255$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…c1debacked Sabalenka | 74c | 230$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…832fbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 225$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed Zheng | 26c | 215$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…c2debacked Zheng | 26c | 215$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Sabalenka | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Zheng | 38c | 177.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Zheng | 39c | 173.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Zheng | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…a86ebacked Zheng | 25c | 145$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…7c3dbacked Zheng | 26c | 145$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Zheng | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Zheng | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…7d41backed Sabalenka | 75c | 105$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a913backed Sabalenka | 74c | 105$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Sabalenka | 73c | 102.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Zheng | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Sabalenka | 73c | 99.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Sabalenka | 76c | 88.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…b3f8backed Sabalenka | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca8…9779backed Sabalenka | 74c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Zheng | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Sabalenka | 73c | 48.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…34acbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd620…f1fdbacked Zheng | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed Sabalenka | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…4e21backed Zheng | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Sabalenka | 76c | 44.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…4350backed Sabalenka | 75c | 22.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.