CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a906befacb230f678acff850821412c458134baf2f99b0108e6ca29e08c526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millennium Esportsof Prestige, Millennium Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Prestige | 64c | 3,323$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.25 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Millennium Esports | 34c | 1,010$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Millennium Esports | 53c | 977.68$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Millennium Esports | 47c | 475$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Millennium Esports | 71c | 401.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Prestige | 60c | 351.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Prestige | 29c | 301.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Millennium Esports | 37c | 225.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Millennium Esports | 44c | 203.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Millennium Esports | 40c | 189$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Prestige | 42c | 173.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Millennium Esports | 50c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Millennium Esports | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Prestige | 40c | 139.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Prestige | 8c | 132.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Millennium Esports | 54c | 122.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Millennium Esports | 31c | 114.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Millennium Esports | 59c | 105.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed Prestige | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Millennium Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Millennium Esports | 45c | 97.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Prestige | 38c | 89.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Millennium Esports | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Prestige | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Prestige | 31c | 80.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Millennium Esports | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Millennium Esports | 50c | 69.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Prestige | 27c | 69.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Prestige | 43c | 66.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Millennium Esports | 34c | 56.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Millennium Esports | 39c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Millennium Esports | 43c | 43.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Millennium Esports | 46c | 41.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Millennium Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Prestige | 53c | 38.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Prestige | 47c | 33.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Millennium Esports | 68c | 31.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Prestige | 79c | 30.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Prestige | 51c | 29.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Millennium Esports | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Millennium Esports | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Millennium Esports | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Millennium Esports | 42c | 26.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Millennium Esports | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…934ebacked Prestige | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Millennium Esports | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.