Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Nina Vargova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2bef86ebef72065b9ad26c89da07db5fde9f03b5e39da9571cf7c5a9ce7baf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Egorovaof Daria Egorova, Nina Vargova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nina Vargova | 8c | 3,600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Nina Vargova | 8c | 2,600$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Nina Vargova | 9c | 2,350$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Nina Vargova | 8c | 2,247$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nina Vargova | 8c | 2,200$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Nina Vargova | 8c | 2,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nina Vargova | 10c | 1,520$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nina Vargova | 9c | 1,084$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Nina Vargova | 9c | 833$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Nina Vargova | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daria Egorova | 30c | 667.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.57 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Egorova | 32c | 441.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nina Vargova | 21c | 407.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Nina Vargova | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Nina Vargova | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nina Vargova | 69c | 276.6$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Daria Egorova | 26c | 253.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Nina Vargova | 69c | 222.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Daria Egorova | 80c | 211$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Daria Egorova | 14c | 205$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nina Vargova | 70c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Daria Egorova | 63c | 180.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Nina Vargova | 27c | 180.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Nina Vargova | 46c | 137.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nina Vargova | 67c | 135.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Nina Vargova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nina Vargova | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Daria Egorova | 17c | 114$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed Daria Egorova | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Egorova | 34c | 90.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nina Vargova | 68c | 87.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daria Egorova | 33c | 86.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daria Egorova | 47c | 80.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nina Vargova | 31c | 79.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Daria Egorova | 39c | 76.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Daria Egorova | 35c | 72.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Nina Vargova | 50c | 68.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Daria Egorova | 46c | 67.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Nina Vargova | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nina Vargova | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Nina Vargova | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Nina Vargova | 78c | 63.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Daria Egorova | 72c | 57.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nina Vargova | 25c | 49.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Daria Egorova | 39c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Nina Vargova | 26c | 44.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Nina Vargova | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Daria Egorova | 41c | 41.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Daria Egorova | 26c | 41.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Daria Egorova | 49c | 40.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 39c | 39.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Nina Vargova | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daria Egorova | 71c | 38.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Daria Egorova | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daria Egorova | 30c | 32.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nina Vargova | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Daria Egorova | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Daria Egorova | 37c | 29.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Daria Egorova | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nina Vargova | 78c | 24.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nina Vargova | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nina Vargova | 53c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Nina Vargova | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Nina Vargova | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Nina Vargova | 64c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nina Vargova | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.