CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Rare Atom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2eda53227b6acd3d77a8ba62dcd758924b668403b016577fc65c65ead63ee68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Just Swing, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Just Swing | 25c | 1,099$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Just Swing | 5c | 487.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Just Swing | 36c | 263.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…6294backed Rare Atom | 64c | 249$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Rare Atom | 71c | 130.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Just Swing | 9c | 110.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rare Atom | 80c | 98.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 90.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rare Atom | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Rare Atom | 75c | 66.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Just Swing | 31c | 65.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rare Atom | 77c | 58.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Rare Atom | 62c | 50.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Just Swing | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Just Swing | 29c | 44.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Just Swing | 34c | 40.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Rare Atom | 66c | 33.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Swing | 38c | 32.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Rare Atom | 64c | 28.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Rare Atom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Rare Atom - Map 1 WinnerRare Atom won
- Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerRare Atom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.