TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Kansas State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x936f…d171backed Kansas State Wildcats10c2,682$275 inLost-$2751526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats9c1,276$121 inLost-$120.5612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Kansas State Wildcats11c800$88 inLost-$8856444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kansas State Wildcats11c695$76 inLost-$76.451,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats13c636.2$82 inLost-$82.032,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kansas State Wildcats11c280$31 inLost-$30.81,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Kansas State Wildcats10c258.3$26 inLost-$25.8342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas State Wildcats8c256.07$19 inLost-$19.313,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kansas State Wildcats13c255.6$34 inLost-$34.141,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State Wildcats7c205.66$14 inLost-$14.41,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats7c205$15 inLost-$15.075,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kansas State Wildcats12c199.99$24 inLost-$241,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Kansas State Wildcats10c112$11 inLost-$11.27346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Kansas State Wildcats15c100$15 inLost-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kansas State Wildcats11c100$10 inLost-$10.518129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats12c99.65$12 inLost-$11.821,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Kansas State Wildcats13c80$10 inLost-$10.438645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Kansas State Wildcats16c62.5$10 inLost-$1014339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.