MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ab06462d93e7fc12c5251d502247999d638596d827afe30dd90a7a1db9fc40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7239…6591backed Athletics | 51c | 2,534$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.17 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,930$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 56c | 1,614$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.04 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 942.85$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.64 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 831.73$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.45 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 50c | 700$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 53c | 576.63$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 547$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 53c | 420.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Athletics | 54c | 358.12$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 281$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Athletics | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 32c | 154.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Athletics | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Athletics | 55c | 100.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…f10ebacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Athletics | 54c | 76.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Athletics | 55c | 54.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…5b80backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 48.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…8d3bbacked Texas Rangers | 74c | 41.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…5fcdbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 35.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…8816backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 35.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…9932backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 35.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Athletics | 55c | 33.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…a852backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…5372backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…f965backed Athletics | 55c | 24.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…aeb2backed Athletics | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…f8d6backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 23.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…8ad3backed Athletics | 55c | 23.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…3531backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…75afbacked Athletics | 55c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…917cbacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 52c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…1a48backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…4244backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9639…4aa5backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 18.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b3a6backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4561…c6aebacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 17.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed74…5a45backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…894abacked Texas Rangers | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.