Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Nuria Brancaccio vs Barbora Palicova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4162ab2122fa90cf4c76f4f2cd2f69d151ce92f507d6e04dda51f8b0e6bc3fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barbora Palicovaof Nuria Brancaccio, Barbora Palicova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 6,490$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Barbora Palicova | 61c | 5,085$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Nuria Brancaccio | 19c | 3,842$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.65 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Barbora Palicova | 64c | 3,668$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Barbora Palicova | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 469.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barbora Palicova | 79c | 394.52$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 42c | 288.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Nuria Brancaccio | 15c | 249.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Nuria Brancaccio | 30c | 244.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Barbora Palicova | 61c | 220$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Barbora Palicova | 67c | 141.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Barbora Palicova | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Barbora Palicova | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Barbora Palicova | 50c | 101.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuria Brancaccio | 64c | 82.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Barbora Palicova | 58c | 76.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Barbora Palicova | 62c | 69.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Barbora Palicova | 36c | 64.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Barbora Palicova | 59c | 57.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Nuria Brancaccio | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Barbora Palicova | 37c | 55.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 64c | 55.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Barbora Palicova | 54c | 53.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Barbora Palicova | 63c | 49.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Barbora Palicova | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed Nuria Brancaccio | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Barbora Palicova | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Barbora Palicova | 49c | 34.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Barbora Palicova | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Barbora Palicova | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08e…379bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 49c | 28.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Barbora Palicova | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Barbora Palicova | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Nuria Brancaccio | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.