Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41e171c9f138d577b5cadbd4bc0d0ca4464580162e30afd569312daec926849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 11c | 10,808$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.85 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 6c | 6,044$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed No | 0c | 4,788$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…c90abacked No | 2c | 2,894$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +624.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 6c | 2,160$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed Yes | 63c | 2,005$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 1c | 1,977$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 2c | 751.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…65fdbacked No | 2c | 592.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…3509backed No | 4c | 470.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 7c | 312.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked No | 6c | 302.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Yes | 78c | 130.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 24c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.