Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Niksa Arsic vs Lorenzo Comino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4208b66be49d8ab6c1de589bd7f336b8d8876a2e3acd47f71195f985df0fab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niksa Arsicof Niksa Arsic, Lorenzo Comino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Niksa Arsic | 80c | 4,731$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.31 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lorenzo Comino | 30c | 1,520$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.82 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lorenzo Comino | 29c | 1,325$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.22 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Lorenzo Comino | 59c | 1,268$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Lorenzo Comino | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Niksa Arsic | 44c | 689.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Lorenzo Comino | 8c | 646.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Lorenzo Comino | 29c | 520.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Lorenzo Comino | 62c | 484.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Comino | 15c | 262.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Lorenzo Comino | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lorenzo Comino | 10c | 219$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Niksa Arsic | 46c | 174.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Lorenzo Comino | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niksa Arsic | 77c | 123.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Lorenzo Comino | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Niksa Arsic | 75c | 99.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Niksa Arsic | 75c | 90.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Niksa Arsic | 71c | 76.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aed…2653backed Niksa Arsic | 44c | 59.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Niksa Arsic | 74c | 57.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Lorenzo Comino | 36c | 56.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Lorenzo Comino | 55c | 53.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lorenzo Comino | 42c | 48.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Lorenzo Comino | 26c | 46.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Niksa Arsic | 45c | 45.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…d3f8backed Lorenzo Comino | 29c | 34.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niksa Arsic | 77c | 33.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Niksa Arsic | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Niksa Arsic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Niksa Arsic | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Niksa Arsic | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Niksa Arsic | 46c | 25.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Niksa Arsic | 70c | 25.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Niksa Arsic | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Niksa Arsic | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Niksa Arsic | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Niksa Arsic | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.