Youngstown State Penguins vs. Robert Morris Colonials

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47c782b415af7916d88d52725615fafafe24e75d0b8ec029270018c83aba653

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Robert Morris Colonialsof Youngstown State Penguins, Robert Morris Colonials
Resolved: Dec 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x067f…e041backed Robert Morris Colonials	60c	5,000$2,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,005.79	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins	40c	4,222$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,688.86	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins	64c	1,375$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.96	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Youngstown State Penguins	44c	964.64$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.95	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Robert Morris Colonials	50c	808.58$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.17	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Robert Morris Colonials	39c	796$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.94	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Youngstown State Penguins	45c	770$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.5	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Robert Morris Colonials	55c	661$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.55	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Youngstown State Penguins	45c	599.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	294	44.6%131 W · 163 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials	58c	581$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Youngstown State Penguins	43c	472.98$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.11	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Robert Morris Colonials	56c	446.93$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.34	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Youngstown State Penguins	51c	436.55$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.05	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Robert Morris Colonials	55c	358.02$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.77	175	46.3%81 W · 94 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Youngstown State Penguins	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Robert Morris Colonials	55c	217$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.02	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Robert Morris Colonials	54c	207$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.22	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Youngstown State Penguins	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	262	54.2%142 W · 120 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…5714backed Robert Morris Colonials	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Robert Morris Colonials	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Robert Morris Colonials	54c	198$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.08	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Morris Colonials	40c	171$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.85	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Robert Morris Colonials	53c	161.34$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.23	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Robert Morris Colonials	53c	157.42$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.04	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08df…89babacked Youngstown State Penguins	66c	113.61$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa852…46efbacked Youngstown State Penguins	57c	104.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Robert Morris Colonials	54c	102$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Robert Morris Colonials	50c	100.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.24	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Youngstown State Penguins	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-14.7wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Youngstown State Penguins	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	270	48.1%130 W · 140 L	+12.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Robert Morris Colonials	54c	98$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.08	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Youngstown State Penguins	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	794	48.9%388 W · 406 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Robert Morris Colonials	54c	85$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.1	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Robert Morris Colonials	38c	83$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.46	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Youngstown State Penguins	68c	67.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7944…4f13backed Robert Morris Colonials	40c	58$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.59	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Robert Morris Colonials	58c	51.8$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Robert Morris Colonials	54c	51$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Robert Morris Colonials	49c	50.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins	47c	44.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Youngstown State Penguins	43c	43.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Robert Morris Colonials	28c	43.12$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.12	85	18.8%16 W · 69 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Robert Morris Colonials	51c	43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.07	191	53.9%103 W · 88 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Youngstown State Penguins	53c	36.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd694…b908backed Robert Morris Colonials	44c	34.35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Robert Morris Colonials	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Robert Morris Colonials	60c	33.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Robert Morris Colonials	40c	31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a5…dff4backed Youngstown State Penguins	45c	30.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…a474backed Robert Morris Colonials	55c	30.89$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Youngstown State Penguins	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Youngstown State Penguins	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Youngstown State Penguins	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf303…e30ebacked Youngstown State Penguins	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	79cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Youngstown State Penguins vs. Robert Morris Colonials

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market