Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4812726c03f26030e8fcc4cec852de87011a799ed8680b583a7ff39cb7f6e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Colonelsof Nicholls Colonels, Incarnate Word Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 56c | 2,000$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.56 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 1,038$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.38 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 22c | 894.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 635.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 571.45$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.97 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicholls Colonels | 61c | 375.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 59c | 294$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 273$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 261$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 56c | 212.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Nicholls Colonels | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 20c | 114.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 31c | 109.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 23c | 100.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 40c | 79.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 72.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 28c | 67.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 25c | 54.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nicholls Colonels | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 55c | 38.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nicholls Colonels | 72c | 36.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Nicholls Colonels | 77c | 31.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 28.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsthis page
- Spread: Incarnate Word Cardinals (-2.5)Nicholls Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.