MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b3b3178566f22b5a8031585e7a95cab15e541ce1885e81c16972a74d8e310a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed NC Dinos | 53c | 2,833$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.56 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 2,801$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 2,029$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked NC Dinos | 40c | 1,358$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.81 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 39c | 735.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 2c | 605.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +393.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 411.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NC Dinos | 53c | 280.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 218$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 202.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed NC Dinos | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 116.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 109.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 109.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 64c | 94.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 80c | 93.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed NC Dinos | 68c | 93.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 71.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed NC Dinos | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 55c | 54.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked NC Dinos | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…8b6fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 47.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed NC Dinos | 57c | 44.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 43.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 54c | 41.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 37.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed NC Dinos | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…bb15backed NC Dinos | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked NC Dinos | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed NC Dinos | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…9e57backed NC Dinos | 53c | 22.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed NC Dinos | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.